A History Of Probability And Statistics And Their Applications Before 1750 Pdf

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08.12.2020 at 16:58
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a history of probability and statistics and their applications before 1750 pdf

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Probability has a dual aspect: on the one hand the likelihood of hypotheses given the evidence for them, and on the other hand the behavior of stochastic processes such as the throwing of dice or coins. The study of the former is historically older in, for example, the law of evidence, while the mathematical treatment of dice began with the work of Cardano , Pascal and Fermat between the 16th and 17th century.

A History of Probability and Statistics and Their Applications before 1750

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Probability and statistics

The concept of risk has pervaded medical literature in the last decades and has become a familiar topic, and the concept of probability, linked to binary logic approach, is commonly applied in epidemiology and clinical medicine. The application of probability theory to groups of individuals is quite straightforward but can pose communication challenges at individual level. Few articles by the way have tried to focus the concept of "risk" at the individual subject level rather than at population level. The author has reviewed the conceptual framework which has led to the use of probability theory in the medical field in a time when the principal causes of death were represented by acute disease often of infective origin. In the present scenario, in which chronic degenerative disease dominate and there are smooth transitions between health and disease the use of fuzzy logic rather than binary logic would be more appropriate. The use of fuzzy logic in which more than two possible truth-value assignments are allowed overcomes the trap of probability theory when dealing with uncertain outcomes, thereby making the meaning of a certain prognostic statement easier to understand by the patient. At individual subject level the recourse to the term plausibility , related to fuzzy logic, would help the physician to communicate to the patient more efficiently in comparison with the term probability , related to binary logic.

Probability and statistics

This book offers a detailed history of parametric statistical inference. Covering the period between James Bernoulli and R. Fisher, it examines: binomial statistical inference; statistical inference by inverse probability; the central limit theo Early Concepts of Probability and Chance.

Courgeau, Daniel : Probability and social science : methodologial relationships between the two approaches?


Georges B.
10.12.2020 at 03:20 - Reply

However, the subject is much older, astronomers having long been interested in estimates of location beyond the sample mean.

Katherine O.
11.12.2020 at 22:35 - Reply

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Kore E.
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